Prediction of Municipal Mortality in Housing Based on Dual Gray-Markov Model


  • Chen Guang School of Architectural Management, Jiangsu Vocational Institute of Architectural Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China


Based on the gray-Markov model, a gray-Verhulst prediction model is proposed to further fit, and constructing a double-gray-Markov model to solve the problem evident in the oscillating development sequence or the saturated curve sequence in data from 2006 to 2018 for the toll of safety-related accidental deaths. This model is intended to achieve better prediction of the death toll caused by safety issues in housing and municipal accidents. The forecast results show that the hitherto increasing numbers of such accidents are slowing decreasing although the death toll is still high, indicating that the management of housing and municipal safety needs to be more efficient and effective.

Keywords: housing city security, double-gray-Markov, predict, analysis

Cite As

C. Guang, "Prediction of Municipal Mortality in Housing Based on Dual Gray-Markov Model",
Engineering Intelligent Systems, vol. 30 no. 3, pp. 227-232, 2022.