Prediction of Municipal Mortality in Housing Based on Dual Gray-Markov Model

Authors

  • Chen Guang School of Architectural Management, Jiangsu Vocational Institute of Architectural Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China

Abstract

Based on the gray-Markov model, a gray-Verhulst prediction model is proposed to further fit, and constructing a double-gray-Markov model to solve the problem evident in the oscillating development sequence or the saturated curve sequence in data from 2006 to 2018 for the toll of safety-related accidental deaths. This model is intended to achieve better prediction of the death toll caused by safety issues in housing and municipal accidents. The forecast results show that the hitherto increasing numbers of such accidents are slowing decreasing although the death toll is still high, indicating that the management of housing and municipal safety needs to be more efficient and effective.

Keywords: housing city security, double-gray-Markov, predict, analysis

Cite As

C. Guang, "Prediction of Municipal Mortality in Housing Based on Dual Gray-Markov Model",
Engineering Intelligent Systems, vol. 30 no. 3, pp. 227-232, 2022.



Downloads

Published

2022-05-01

Issue

Vol. 30 No. 3 (2022): International Journal of Engineering Intelligent Systems

Section

General Submission

License

The submission of a paper implies that, if accepted for publication, it will not be published elsewhere in the same form, in any language, without the prior consent of the publisher. Before publication, authors are requested to assign copyright to CRL Publishing Ltd. This allows CRL to sanction photocopying, and to authorize the reprinting of issues or volumes according to demand. Authors' traditional rights will not be jeopardized by assigning Copyright in this way, as they retain the right to reuse the material following publication, and to veto third-party publication.